10.28.2008

A Serious Political Thought

I'm still not convinced that Obama will win seven days from now but he may very well be the next President. If that happens, the Republican Party, as we once new it, will be dead. And if doesn't happen this year, it will happen after four more. It's all a matter of demographics. And before I get flamed, this belief was actually the product of a conversation I had with a couple of right wingers six months ago. It was their idea, not mine. The reason? Minorities typically vote Democratic - that's not news. But it doesn't take many of them to push the Democrats over the 50% margin. And once that happens, there will be no turning back. Take a look at the census. That day is coming. And it may be one week away. I'm convinced that Ronald Reagan could not get elected today. That landslide of 1980 and 1984 came from an American public, and this is the most important part, that no longer exists. Yeah, it's a simplistic way of proving of it, but just think about The Brady Bunch, The Andy Griffith Show, or The Dick Van Dyke Show. It's almost like you're watching the History Channel when you looked at the way their lives were portrayed. Yeah, the Republican Party can get back into power at the national level by becoming more moderate - something McCain apparently realizes even now - but the true conservative will not be welcome. Rush Limbaugh went on a rant the other day that, win or lose, it is time to take back the Republican Party. His heart may be in the right place, but the numbers are against him. There's just not enough of those folks left to be a factor. Yeah, they are all over the place in little Wise County, but not nationally. I'm not saying it's a good thing or a bad thing. But I am saying that America changed right before our eyes. And far more quickly than any of us realized.